Tracking the Tropics: Development likely in the Gulf this week

Forecasters: Caribbean storm could become hurricane

Outer bands from Michael are expected produce as much as 4 inches (10 cm) of rain through Tuesday in the Florida Keys, one of several areas in the state devastated by Hurricane Irma past year.

TS Michael has winds of 70 miles per hour and it could reach Category 2 strength by Tuesday.

Many are located in the coastal town of Port St. Joe, the county's largest municipality, lying directly in the hurricane's projected path, she said.

In the United States, a storm surge watch has been issued from Navarre, Florida to Anna Maria Island, Florida.

Either way, we'll likely experience a quick period of heavy rain somewhere along the Carolinas and perhaps some wind gusts between 40 to 45 miles per hour from late Wednesday into Thursday and perhaps even into Friday morning before Michael quickly moves off the North Carolina coast. "I'm asking all Floridians to stay vigilant throughout tonight and tomorrow as we brace for Hurricane Michael to make landfall". Michael is now about 90 miles south of Cozumel, Mexico.

A tropical storm that rapidly formed off Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula has gained new strength and could become a risky Category 2 hurricane with an expected midweek strike on the Gulf Coast in the Florida Panhandle, forecasts say.

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The report notes that we are now at a warming of about 1.0°C, with the warming trend rolling along at 0.2±0.1°C per decade. Global Warming of 1.5 °C is the first in a series of Special Reports to be produced in the IPCC's Sixth Assessment Cycle.

Scott, who announced he was declaring a state of emergency Sunday for 26 counties in the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend, said that afternoon that the storm will be slow, strong and will bring a unsafe storm surge."This storm will be life-threatening and extremely risky", he said in briefing Sunday evening. Florida State University announced it will close from Tuesday through Friday this week. Michael could be as strong as a category 3 storm at that time.

Scott said 5,500 Florida National Guard members are available for deployment, and he activated 500 for preliminary preparations.

"This storm will be life-threatening and extremely risky", Scott said after receiving a briefing at the State Emergency Operations Center.

Speaking Monday to the International Association of Chiefs of Police convention in Orlando, Trump urged residents to heed local warnings and pledged the federal government's support. The tropical system will approach the Gulf Coast just as the cold front pushes in to approach the Gulf on Tuesday.

Lines at gasoline stations were growing long in Panama City as people prepared to leave areas under mandatory evacuation, Trepanier said. Michael will be squeezed between two strong weather features this week, a massive curve in jet stream winds called a trough to the west and an area of high pressure to the east.

7-day rainfall forecast from the National Weather Service. After that, the storm will head inland over Georgia, and then move into the Carolinas on Thursday.

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