Chill Out - Maine Could Have A Milder-Than-Average Winter

NOAA predicting mild winter in New England – Boston News, Weather, Sports

In fact, Halper said, nowhere in the expected to be colder than normal; continuing a national trend over the past several years.

Based on NOAA's Winter Outlook, they're predicting a 70% to 75% chance of El Nino forming this fall and lasting through the winter. He said there is a chance El Nino could reach moderate strength and a "blob" of warm water setting up in the Northeast Pacific Ocean could set up a jet stream pattern that maximizes the delivery of cold air into the eastern United States.

The prospect of stormy conditions in the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic means it has the greatest chance of having colder-than-normal conditions of anywhere in the country, Halpert said.

A mild winter could be in store for much of the United States, according to the seasonal forecast released Thursday by NOAA.

Mike Halpert, Deputy Director of NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, says their forecast calls for above average temperatures and below average precipitation for both the Lower and Upper Peninsula.

No region in the country is expected to see below average temps this winter season.

It also said that wetter-than-average conditions are likely across the southern part of the US, and up into the Mid-Atlantic.

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During that time, an Arctic cold front will move across the US and produce bitter winds and a drop in the temperature over much of the U.S.

2018-19 Winter Outlook map for temperature.

Meantime, drier-than-average conditions are expected for the Great Lakes and portions of the Northern Rockies and the Northern Plains.

Drought conditions may worsen in much of Southern and Central California, although the north coast of California may see some relief, according to NOAA. This is more of an overarching forecast of how the three winter months could average out.

But drought conditions are anticipated to improve in areas in Arizona and New Mexico, southern sections of Utah and Colorado, as well as the coastal Pacific Northwest and Central Plains, the agency said. But in case you need some talking down, a new forecast from NOAA says that at the very least, it won't be a nightmare this year. The next update will be posted on November 15.

Last winter ranked among the warmest third in historical records, 1.8 degrees above normal averaged over the nation.

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